Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg is the first specialist we met to understand the current crisis about the coronavirus.
I want to tell you something about the coronavirus epidemic, which they say we have right now. Initially, I thought this hysteria would end quickly, but it has grown so much that we need to look at it more closely. I worked as a doctor and managed a health department. I had my own base and a system for monitoring flu illnesses. Every year I watched how many people get sick in one region with a population of 150,000.
Every year, new types of viruses appear worldwide because viruses need to change. If the same virus appears next year, our immune system recognizes it and we cannot get sick and the virus cannot reproduce, which is its purpose. So, they are constantly changing little by little, and we constantly have new variants of viruses every year. There are about 100 different types of viruses that are constantly changing. So far we have not paid much attention exactly what viruses are causing this flu or disease or whatever you like to call it. But there is research from the last few years in Glasgow. There they try to use the available tests – this means that they do not examine all 100 species, but only those for which there are tests. Consider 8 or 10 different viruses, as coronaviruses have always been a part of them. These are Glasgow figures. Starting from 2005 to 2013, they check which viruses occur in respiratory diseases.
These colored columns are viruses. The green columns correspond to the coronavirus, which has always been present in the mix. Coronaviruses make up 7% to 15%, maybe 5% to 14%, with small variations. It is therefore normal for many viruses to be coronaviruses. The following happens: Wuhan is the largest viral laboratory in China. There are a huge number of specialists in the subject who deal with this all day long. Wuhan is a huge city, 11 million people, huge hospitals, huge emergency centers, there are always ventilators, people with pneumonia, hundreds of them, and they do very few tests, less than 50.
They look at the viruses they have, examine their RNA in the lab and find a new type. That gets their attention. When a virologist finds such a thing, he registers it in a worldwide database. And this database is accessible to scientists from all over the world, such as Berlin. In Berlin, they are checking and comparing this new record and they try to create a test, to measure this new coronavirus variant. Then Mr. Drosten sends a protocol to the WHO, where they accept it fairly quickly. Usually, since the test is considered a medical device, it must be approved.
This means that it has to be thoroughly checked. What exactly does this test show? What exactly does it measure? The said test is an in-laboratory test developed at the Charite Clinic. But because there were no approved tests and panic appeared, it was decided to use this test everywhere. Then Mr. Drosten provided the test. Of course, the virologist cannot tell if the virus is dangerous or not. He can only say, “this is a different species” or “we have a test for this” … But is this virus dangerous, Mr. Drosten? How can he know? It needs more epidemiological data, based on observations of how and how much people get sick. How fast do they recover? Are there fewer casualties than before? Therefore, it is important to review the data from previous years in order to compare it with the data.
Let's look at the mortality data to see how many people died from the virus. While looking at a particular virus, let's say a coronavirus, you can survey the entire population. You will find that about 8-10% of the whole population has some kind of virus that causes the disease. But if you research health facilities, do tests there, to determine who is ill then, of course, you will find many more positives. If you research hospitals and take samples there, you will find even more cases of coronavirus-infected people. That is, depending on which part of the population you are researching, – whether the entire population, patients in the waiting room, people in the clinic or you examine every seriously ill patient in the intestine who is about to die – you will expect to find these 7-15% coronaviruses every time you take the test.
But whether they died of a coronavirus or other viruses while also having a coronavirus, cannot be determined in this way for sure. So when you look at mortality in Italy, I would like to know where the tests were done. Where and how were these little tests available? If they are made in a hospital in seriously ill or fatal cases, then obviously the death rate from the crown virus rises. Just because it seems so because of the specific group that was tested. Mortality, mortality from a particular disease corresponds to the percentage of deaths among people infected with the disease. If we take seasonal acute respiratory disease, – known as flu – there is a mortality rate of 0.1%, which is already the maximum. This means that one in every thousand flu-infected people die every winter. We will now have to see if this figure increases due to coronaviruses. For Germany, the assumption is that there are 20-30 thousand more deaths besides influenza.
This is called excess mortality. We now know that coronaviruses always make up 5-14% of all flu viruses – – let's say 10%. Let's imagine that in previous years, we tested all seriously ill patients at the coronavirus hospital – which, of course, was not done – we would expect to find 2000 to 3000 cases of flu deaths every year, who also had a coronavirus. And we are very far from those numbers yet. Apparently, virologists have created something sensational here and with their creation, they definitely impressed the Chinese government. The Chinese government has done something really great suddenly it became politically very important – completely outside the scope of virology. Suddenly facial recognition was installed at all airports, the fever was measured.
The thermometer controlled traffic on Chinese streets. And all this was so significant that it led to international consequences, politicians had to deal with it, take a stand. Then the virologists entered the game again. Governments have asked their own virologists and they have confirmed that this virus is something to worry about and suggested that tests be developed to measure the virus, as in China. Something started to knit around that. Network of information and opinions has developed into specific expert groups. And the politicians turned to those expert groups that started it all. They absorbed this network and started moving into it. This has led to the fact that politicians who just lie on these arguments, used them (arguments) to judge who to help, introduce security measures and what to allow.
All decisions were based on these arguments. Which means it's going to be very difficult for critics now to say “Stop it! Nothing like that happens. ” It reminds me of the story of the King who was naked. Only one young child managed to shout “Hey, he's naked!” Everyone else is courtiers – bypassing the government, consulting the government because they do not know themselves – they all participated and joined the parade.
In the same way, politicians are courted by many scientists. Scientists who want to be important in politics because they need money for their institutions. Scientists who swim in the mainstream and want their share … “We can help too”, “We made an application”, “We have a program for this” … Amount your people say “Hey we want to help too”, because they want to make money and become important. What is missing right now is a rational look at the situation. We need to ask questions like, “How did you find the virus to be dangerous?” “How was it before?” “Didn't we have the same thing last year?” “Is this something new at all?” This is missing.
And the King is naked.